11.27.2009

Brandon's 55 Percenters


My Wednesday evening picks went well, going 4-1 overall. This weekend has fewer games as the college season wraps up and the NFL lost three games to Thanksgiving Day. Therefore, there are only four football picks for the weekend, although I do have two bonus NBA picks for tonight. Let’s do it!

Mavs -3.5 over PACERS

The German pseudo mullet and friends came through for me on Wednesday, so I’ll hope they can do the same in this one. The Mavs are clearly the better team and Danny Granger is still questionable for the Pacers. Even if he plays, this team is not spectacular and I expect the Mavs to find a way to win, relatively easily.

Knicks / NUGGETS Under 219

Vegas keeps pumping up Knicks Over / Unders because of their pace, despite the fact that this team cannot put the ball in the hoop. I expect the Nugs and Birdman to fly tonight and I am slightly worried that they may score 120+ on their own. With that said, I still think this under is a fifty five percenter. The Knicks are the gift that keeps on giving!

To the football...

North Carolina -5.5 over NORTH CAROLINA ST

These two teams are not even and this line should not be less than a touchdown. North Carolina State’s defense has been atrocious in the ACC, allowing over 4.5 yard per carry and 64% completions in conference play. Factor in that they are playing other mediocre ACC teams and defense like that is astoundingly bad. Give me the Tar Heels, even laying the points.

Arizona -3 over ARIZONA ST

Here, I am taking another road team in a rivalry game. Like UNC/NC St, these two teams just aren’t this even. Arizona could have been a Rose Bowl team if they would have hung on against Oregon while Arizona St has had an extremely disappointing season at 4-7. Despite the emotional let down that Arizona is bound to face after the crushing loss to Oregon, I think they win this one by more than a field goal.

Virginia Tech -15 over VIRGINIA

Let’s finish out the road teams in rivalry games! This one is not as close of a line, but it still isn’t big enough. Virginia’s anemic offense will struggle to score a point against this Aggie defense. I don’t think Virginia Tech is going to score a ridiculous amount of points, but enough to cover this spread. With the pick cleared up, may I ask what the hell an Aggie is? It is an awful word to say, I’ve never heard it used in regular speech yet several teams across the country are proud to be Aggies. (Hold on, I’m going to look it up...) Alright, it is a slang for a student enrolled in an agricultural school. I thought it was a terrible name before, but now I’m speechless. Really, your mascot is named after a slang term for students enrolled at your type of school? How do people at those schools stand for that? How uncreative can you be? I thought Stanford’s Cardinal (No, not Cardinals, Cardinal is a tree) was the worst mascot for the longest time. But without a doubt, Aggie has surpassed it. I better move on before I get legitimately angry.

Panthers / JETS over 41.5

This over is my only NFL play for the weekend. Both of these team’s defenses have been slowing falling apart and both QB’s are good for a Pick 6 every week. I really like betting the over in a battle between Delhomme and the Sanchise. It sounds so absolutely ridiculous that it has to work out. But seriously, neither of these teams can stop each other’s run games and there should be a decent amount of points scored here. Let’s make this the Bet of the Week and ride shotgun with Jake the Snake.

All Time of ADPTP: 9-5 (.643)
Last Week: 9-5 (.643)
Bet of the Week: 1-0 (1.000)

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