Brandon's 55 Percenters

Welcome back to the fifty five percenters. Through my first batch of games, I am doing exactly as I laid out, hitting 55% of my picks. I’ll have my usual football weekend fifty five percenters on Friday, but I have a few bonus NBA bets for tonight and one for the NFL slate tomorrow. Here are the picks...

Clippers +6 over PACERS

I know, betting on the Clippers and evil moron Mike Dunleavy is generally frowned upon in any intelligent circles, but this one seems easy. The Clips get Eric Gordon back, who I hated at Indiana, but is a nice young player nonetheless. The Pacers are missing Danny Granger, who is unequivocally their best player. The Pacers don’t blow people out with Granger, so I’ll take the Clips with the points tonight.

Mavericks +4 over ROCKETS

This battle of the Texas teams has been back and forth over the last few years, although Dallas destroyed Houston in these two teams first matchup this year. Mix that with Dirk Nowitzki’s fantastic German pseudo-mullet and I don’t see them losing this game by more than a possession. I’ll take the points and expect a close game.

Nets / TRAIL BLAZERS Under 181.5

This Nets team is beyond atrocious, although with Devin Harris back they may be slightly better. The Blazers with Greg Oden and his two different length legs play consistently good defense. The key stat in any NBA over/under is the pace at which the two teams play, which can be found in their shots per game and free throws per game. I’ll probably write a full article on this at some point, but for now, it will suffice just to tell you that both of these teams prefer a slow pace and will likely play at one tonight.

Knicks / KINGS Under 216

This Over / Under is insanely high. Yes both of these teams like a fast pace. BUT THEIR PLAYERS SUCK! I trust that one of these two teams will have an off shooting night, which is usually 7 nights a week for the Knicks, and keep us under the total. Let me warn you though, even if you bet on this game, shield your eyes. It won’t be pretty to watch.

Packers / LIONS Under 47.5

This one is not predicated on the Packers offense, which should shine. It is based on Daunte Culpepper getting the start and a questionable Calvin Johnson. This Packer team has shown consistently all year that they will pack it in and force the run when they get a comfortable lead. I expect the same to happen on Thanksgiving, especially when this Lions offense will be in the incompetent hands of Daunte Culpepper. I think McCarthy will want to end this game as quickly as possible and get his players out healthy, without excess plays being run. Oh, and did I mention that Daunte “I’m on a roll, unless you count actual results” Culpepper should be lining up behind center for Detroit?

All Time on ADPTP: 5-4 (.556)
Last Week’s Record: 5-4 (.556)
Bet of the Week Record: 1-0 (1.000)